BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Davenport Assumption

Class: 3A Class Rank: 2 Conference: (13-3) Overall: (23-4) Overall Strength =  104.34

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/04/2009 Home    W    99.73  77   54   4A   45 ( 1-20) Dubuque Hempstead      -4.48 *   27.48                      
  2 12/05/2009 Home    W   109.29  66   52   4A   20 (14- 9) CR Washington           5.08      8.92                      
  3 12/11/2009 Home    L *  83.22  48   61   4A   16 (17- 7) Clinton               -20.98      7.98                      
  4 12/12/2009 Home    W   104.21  63   51   EX   25 ( 0- 1) Orion IL               -0.00     12.00                      
  5 12/15/2009 Away    W * 101.88  70   56   4A   35 ( 6-16) Muscatine              -2.32     16.32                      
  6 12/18/2009 Home    W * 101.35  47   43   4A   14 (17- 8) Pleasant Valley        -2.86      6.86                      
  7 12/19/2009 Neutral W   104.21  64   57   EX   20 ( 0- 1) Galesburg IL           -0.00      7.00                      
  8 01/02/2010 Away    W * 102.85  54   50   4A   17 (14- 8) Eldridge North Scott   -1.36      5.36  was 01/05 now 01/02 
  9 01/08/2010 Away    W * 104.54  51   34   4A   31 ( 8-17) Davenport West          0.33     16.67                      
 10 01/09/2010 Home    W    97.40  60   55   4A   23 (12-11) Iowa City West         -6.81     11.81                      
 11 01/12/2010 Away    W * 100.80  57   52   4A   21 (10-13) Davenport Central      -3.41      8.41                      
 12 01/15/2010 Away    W * 109.76  61   34   4A   41 ( 5-17) Burlington              5.55     21.45                      
 13 01/22/2010 Away    W * 118.67  80   49   4A   36 ( 6-16) Davenport North        14.46     16.54                      
 14 01/26/2010 Home    L *  99.87  46   48   4A    5 (18- 4) Bettendorf             -4.33      2.33                      
 15 01/29/2010 Away    W * 105.11  45   39   4A   16 (17- 7) Clinton                 0.90      5.10                      
 16 02/02/2010 Home    W *  94.00  69   60   4A   35 ( 6-16) Muscatine             -10.21     19.21                      
 17 02/05/2010 Away    W * 123.24  55   32   4A   14 (17- 8) Pleasant Valley        19.03      3.97                      
 18 02/12/2010 Home    W * 117.65  77   44   4A   31 ( 8-17) Davenport West         13.45     19.55                      
 19 02/13/2010 Home    L *  88.96  47   54   4A   17 (14- 8) Eldridge North Scott  -15.25      8.25  was 02/09 now 02/13 
 20 02/16/2010 Home    W * 108.91  76   60   4A   21 (10-13) Davenport Central       4.71     11.29                      
 21 02/19/2010 Home    W * 107.87  82   54   4A   41 ( 5-17) Burlington              3.67     24.33                      
 22 02/22/2010 Home    W   105.35  77   34   3A   56 ( 3-18) Anamosa                 1.15 *   41.85                      
 23 02/25/2010 Neutral W   104.58  44   26   3A   18 (15- 8) Central Clinton         0.37     17.63                      
 24 03/01/2010 Neutral W   100.50  63   57   3A    7 (14-10) Dubuque Wahlert        -3.70      9.70                      
 25 03/10/2010 Neutral W   109.49  57   40   3A   10 (19- 4) Dallas Center-Grimes    5.28     11.72                      
 26 03/11/2010 Neutral L   103.06  45   46   3A    1 (22- 4) Sioux City Heelan      -1.15      0.15                      
 27 03/13/2010 Neutral W   107.06  55   44   3A    6 (22- 3) Mount Pleasant          2.86      8.14                      
      Averages             104.21  60.6 47.6

Best game:  123.24 = 23 point win over Pleasant Valley
Worst game:  83.22 = 13 point loss to Clinton
Team stdev:   8.29